Monday Market Breakdown

ES gameplan March 10

Author

Jan Verhelst
March 10, 2025

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Market Opening & Key Levels

  • The new week starts with a 23-point gap down, and price rejecting 5703—setting the stage for another volatile session.

  • Big Question: Do sellers maintain control, or will buyers step in at key levels?

  • Key Downside Levels: 5673 (with September 10 gap below).

  • Potential Upside Target: If buyers hold, watch for a push toward 5776.

10-Day Volume Profile

  • Slight drop, but no major structural shift.

  • 5698.75 remains a key buyer zone—monitor reactions.

    10 Day VP

Weekly & Daily Structure

  • Opened below last week’s POC (5763) → Continued selling pressure.

  • Upside Targets: 5753 → 5763 if buyers reclaim control.

Order Flow & Delta (2H Chart)

  • Ranging between 5821 and 5672—clear buyer/seller battle at extremes.

  • Sellers stepped in at 5715—is this a fake breakdown?

  • Rejection of 5703 could hint at a reversal—but wait for confirmation.

    2hr delta and daily structure

NY TPO & Session Structure

  • Despite trading below 5720, value remains inside Thursday’s range.

  • An open above 5724 could signal market balance.

  • Key Levels to Watch: 5724, 5750, 5776.

1-Hour Chart & Strike Prices

  • 5800 high, 5700 low—lining up with key levels 5794 & 5698.

  • Midpoint: 5750 → Today’s LIS (Line in the Sand).

  • A clean technical setup—expect strong reactions at these levels.

Game Plan: Bulls vs. Bears

📌 LIS: 5750 (STPrMiD)

Bullish Plan:

  • Hold above 5750 to fill the gap.

  • Long Entries: 5758 → 5776 → 5794 → 5821.

Bearish Plan:

  • Stay below 5750-5748, defending Globex value.

  • Short Entries: 5750 → 5720 → 5700 → 5682 (gap top).

  • Reclaiming 5724 could shift momentum—stay flexible.

    Targets 1hr chart

🚨 Final Thoughts & Warnings

A quick heads-up for European traders—the U.S. is already in Daylight Saving Time, while Europe adjusts in two weeks. That means the NY session opens 1 hour earlier for now. Adjust your schedules accordingly!

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