ES Outlook & Gameplan

Friday, May 2, 2025

Hands Down Some Of The Best Credit Cards Of 2025

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1️⃣ Overview & Key Data

It’s NFP Friday — buckle up.
We’re watching:

  • 🧾 Non-Farm Payrolls

  • 📈 Average Hourly Earnings

  • 📉 Unemployment Rate

All drop before the open. Expect volatility spikes, wide spreads, and sharp reversals around the data. Patience > Prediction today.

2️⃣ Recap of Previous Day

Thursday gave us an 80-point balanced range — a textbook two-sided auction:

  • Price hovered near Wednesday’s single print

  • Tested highs, rejected, and settled midrange
    Perfect structure leading into NFP.

3️⃣ 10-Day Volume Profile

  • Still One Time Framing Up (OTFU)

  • Holding above 5429.25 POC

  • Price is coiling inside the 5672 cluster zone
    → Bulls are defending structure, but momentum is thinning.

10Day

4️⃣ Weekly & Daily Structure

  • Weekly: Double distribution forming between 5562–5672

  • Daily: Sitting right on top of the value zone
    → The reaction to this clustered volume shelf will set next week’s tone.

Weekly and Daily

5️⃣ Order Flow & Delta (2H)

  • Neutral flow Thursday — no side took full control

  • Buyers respected VWAP

  • Globex ticked higher, but flow is waiting for a trigger

2hr Delta

6️⃣ NY TPO & Session Structure

  • NY closed below value around 5650

  • Globex has rallied slightly into yesterday’s single print zone
    → A clean open above 5630 = bulls might push continuation.

TPO

7️⃣ 1-Hour Chart & Strike Prices

  • Tightened strikes around 5670 and 5600

  • Price sitting near mid-pivot with no clear breakout yet
    → Watch 5630–5653 for the next directional clue.

8️⃣ Game Plan: Bulls vs. Bears

📌 Line in the Sand (LIS): 5630
(Previous NY VAL + weekly high-volume shelf)

🟢 Bullish Plan
→ Entry: Above 5630
→ Targets: 5653 → 5674 → 5700

🔴 Bearish Plan
→ Entry: Below 5608
→ Targets: 5588 → 5555 → 5525

Are You Bearish or Bullish Today

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9️⃣ Final Thoughts & Reminders

This is not the day to rush in.
News will swing the market — wait for the reaction, not the headline.
✅ If you’ve had a green week, don’t let FOMO eat your edge.
✅ Let the setups come to you.
✅ Respect volatility and protect your capital.

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Let’s finish the week with clarity and composure.
I’ll see you Sunday for the full Weekly Outlook.


Jan @ Clavis Trading
Smart setups. Clean structure.

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