ES Market Recap & Game Plan

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KEYNOTE: You might notice a slight difference in my hourly chart, with a different display of the Execution levels, this is an automated indicator we are building behind the scenes for you guys. so stay tuned for more news about this gamechanger.

1️⃣ Market Overview

Welcome to Thursday, traders.
FOMC is behind us, but jobless claims data today could stir the pot.

Yesterday’s price action?
A masterclass in balance.
ES filled the LVN beneath 5605, swept both highs and lows, and closed inside the two-day value area. No panic. No breakout. Just compression and that usually comes before an explosion.

2️⃣ 10-Day Volume Profile

We’re watching a subtle sentiment shift.

• The 10-day open was taken out

• Now pointing toward 5724.75

• This level is your ignition switch. Get above → we run.

3️⃣ Weekly & Daily Structure

Weekly Chart: Holding above VA. Price is compressing near the open/close zone.
Daily Chart: Flirting with breakout potential. 5732 is the line. Clear it and bulls reclaim full control.

4️⃣ 2-Hour Order Flow & Delta

VWAP got a full workout yesterday:

• Price danced between 1st & 2nd deviation

• Closed under weekly VWAP → indecision

• Passive buyers exist, but there’s no domination yet

5️⃣ NY TPO Structure

Wednesday printed a balanced TPO with excess at the top.
That excess could cap price—or act as fuel if we rip through it.

If we hold above that spike, bulls gain confidence and flow returns.

6️⃣ 1-Hour Chart & Strike Prices

We are deep inside a 5-day range.
Globex is sniffing around Monday’s gap fill.

Strike prices? Tight.
Compression before a pop—classic post-FOMC + macro day setup.

7️⃣ Game Plan: Bulls vs. Bears

📍 Line in the Sand (LIS): 5652
This is your control zone. Structure, reaction, and flow all converge here.

🟢 Bullish Above:
→ 5687
→ 5722
→ 5758

🔴 Bearish Below:
→ 5616
→ 5581
→ 5545

8️⃣ Final Thoughts & Tactical Advice

🧠 This is a reaction day.
We’ve got jobless claims + post-FOMC digestion. That’s a recipe for fakeouts and overreactions.

Don’t chase. Don’t guess. Don’t size big into unknowns.

Wait for the structure to resolve.
Let the market pick a side.
And when it does—strike with precision.

Jan @ Clavis Trading
Smart setups. Clean structure.

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