ES Market Overview

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1️⃣ Overview:

After Friday’s controlled climb, the ES opens the week with cautious optimism. We’re holding above 5700, but the lack of major news today means price could drift unless volume picks up. Eyes on the Fed later this week.

2️⃣ Key Economic Events:

• Today: No major news.

• This Week: Federal Reserve meeting on deck — plan for positioning and rebalancing flows midweek.

3️⃣ Recap of Friday:

• ES pushed above 5700 with passive buyers lifting from Thursday’s POC.

• NY closed near highs in balance, but structure hinted at possible continuation.

• Globex opened slightly lower — minor gap into an LVN zone.

4️⃣ 10-Day Volume Profile:

• Still One Time Framing Up.

• POC holds firm at 5429.25.

• A new double distribution has formed below current price — could act as magnet on weakness.

5️⃣ Weekly & Daily Structure:

• Weekly OTFU holding with key support anchored at 5455.

• We’re above last week’s VAH.

• 5661–5705 is your decision zone — break 5725 with volume and bulls unlock continuation.

6️⃣ Order Flow & Delta (2H):

• Buyers stayed active above VWAP Friday.

• Passive selling was visible at 5705–5725.

• That zone remains a critical battlefield for directional control.

7️⃣ NY TPO Structure:

• Classic P-shaped profile on Friday.

• Confirmation comes if we open above 5663 and value builds higher.

8️⃣ 1-Hour Chart & Strike Prices:

• Trend intact.

• Globex opened lower, but still trading above structure.

• Strike range tightens above 5705 → expect a reactive move on acceptance/rejection.

9️⃣ 🎯 Game Plan: Bulls vs. Bears

📌 Line in the Sand (LIS): 5705 – Globex gap low & sell wall

🐂 Bullish Plan:

• Entry above 5705

• Targets: 5724 → 5750 → 5770

🐻 Bearish Plan:

• Rejection under 5705

• Targets: 5680 → 5645 → 5600

🔔 Final Thoughts & Warnings:

No news doesn’t mean no risk.
This is the positioning zone before potential fireworks midweek.

💡 Stay disciplined. Don’t chase early moves. Watch reactions around 5705 and be prepared to flip fast if structure breaks.

Jan @ Clavis Trading
Smart setups. Clean structure.

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