ES Market Gameplan

Tuesday, April 8, 2025

Author

Jan Verhelst
April 08, 2025

Watch full breakdown on YouTube
https://youtu.be/obQUeG9GCsc

📅 Heads-Up: I’ll be on break from April 10–18.
No live updates or Discord sessions during that time.
✅ I’ll return with the gameplan Sunday April 20.

Market Overview – Monday's Reversal Madness

What started as a 90-point gap down turned into a 454-point reversal.
Buyers stepped in hard near 4975, reclaimed every major resistance level, and closed 21 points higher than Friday, a rare show of strength in this brutal environment.

Key takeaway?
The market lives. But it’s wounded and unpredictable.

10-Day Volume Profile – Value is Shifting

  • We're still One Time Framing Down, but volume is now building above 5104,

  • This is also August’s POC—a historically relevant level.

  • If bulls can hold value here, we may see further attempts higher.

10 Day

Weekly & Daily Structure – Pressure Building

  • Weekly POC: 5075, up 163 points, aligns with last week’s VAL.

  • Daily candle structure = still OTFD, with resistance at 5286.50

  • Bulls need to defend 5075 to even think about shifting momentum.

Weekly and Daily

Order Flow & Delta (2H)

  • Responsive buyers stacked limit orders above VWAP all Monday.

  • But... sellers are firmly positioned at 5250–5300.

  • Today’s theme: Mid-field warfare with traps on both sides.

2hr Delta

NY TPO Session Structure

  • Monday printed a 420-point range with 131-point VA.

  • Strong excess at both ends = indecision, not strength.

  • Above 5173 → Bulls push

  • Below 5111 → Bears come out swinging.

1-Hour Chart & Strike Prices

  • Globex is floating between key strike zones centered at 5200.

  • Expect range-bound traps, so trade the edges or breakouts only.

  • A-to-B range in place—this structure will define today’s opportunity.

🎯 Game Plan – Bulls vs. Bears

📌 LIS: 5110 (Weekly Close + HVN + Structural Pivot)

🟢 Bullish Plan

  • Entry: 5113

  • Targets:

    • 5160 /5200 /5238

🔴 Bearish Plan

  • Entry: Below 5105

  • Targets:

    • 5055 /5021 /4975

Final Thoughts – Calm Before the FOMC

FOMC drops tomorrow.
Don’t confuse today’s possible calm with safety; liquidity is already pulling back.
It’s a perfect recipe for fakeouts and fast stops.
Your edge today? Structure, patience, and discipline.

🚨 One more thing: If you’re still chasing entries or struggling with planning your trades around structure, download the free Sentinel Playbook.
You’ll get a clean system that works in any market condition.

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Let’s stay connected, daily.

—

Clavis Trading | MarketFlow Genius
No noise. Just precision.
See you tomorrow for FOMC. Stay sharp.


Tradezella Trading journal: https://tradezella.com?fpr=jan59
Bulenox Propfirm (trusted): https://bulenox.com/member/aff/go/renkoflow