ES Market Gameplan

Wednesday, April 23, 2025

Author

Jan Verhelst
April 23, 2025

🎥 Watch on YouTube (with live charts):
https://youtu.be/5OT--CfezO0

📌 Heads up: Today’s session could get spicy. We’ve got data drops, a structure shift, and bulls returning to the front line. Let’s dive in before things pop off.

1️⃣ Market Overview – The Comeback Begins

After Monday’s smackdown, Tuesday brought the bulls back in play.
ES pushed up from the depths, gapped into the April 15th range, and started flirting with key resistance levels.

But let’s be clear: this isn’t “risk-on” just yet. We’re in the middle of a warzone, and every tick matters.

2️⃣ Key Events Today

📰 U.S. Home Sales
🛢️ Crude Oil Inventories

Both are medium-impact, but in this volatility, they can tip the scale fast—especially if one catches traders off guard.

3️⃣ Recap of Tuesday’s Action

  • Support formed above Monday’s B-profile value—buyers defended early.

  • Globex gapped into resistance, testing prior structure around 5390–5400.

  • NY held gains and pushed higher with momentum—but the confirmation game isn’t over yet.

4️⃣ 10-Day Volume Profile

  • Still One Time Framing Down, but...

  • Value is now building inside the previous Value Area, hinting at re-acceptance.

  • 👀 LVN at 5323.25 sits right under price—expect sharp reactions here.

10 Day VP

5️⃣ Weekly & Daily Structure

  • Weekly gap-up above VAH 5335.25 → bullish short-term tone.

  • Daily is still OTFD, but testing that line with pressure.

  • ⚔️ 5432 is the battlefield—a break here changes the entire narrative.

  • Springboard zone: 5394 low-volume pocket.

Weekly and Daily

6️⃣ Order Flow & Delta (2H)

  • Delta turned supportive Tuesday → sustained above weekly VWAP.

  • NY held strength and even pierced into 2nd deviation range.

  • Translation? Buyers are here... but they’re still dancing with danger.

2hr Delta

7️⃣ NY TPO Structure

  • Monday’s B-profile top at 5262.50 → now acting as support.

  • ES is floating near Friday’s VAH.

  • A weak open below 5397 would hint at short-term exhaustion. Watch closely.

NY TPO

8️⃣ 1-Hour Chart & Strike Prices

  • 📈 Daily OTFU printing—finally some upside structure.

  • 📉 Globex gap still open beneath.

  • Strike zone is tightening. Translation: coiled spring setup—big move incoming.

9️⃣ 🎯 Game Plan – Bulls vs. Bears

📌 Line in the Sand: 5380
→ Major SP high, HVN, and open interest cluster.

🟢 Bullish Plan (Above LIS)

Long above 5380
🎯 Targets: 5400 → 5452 → 5488

🔴 Bearish Plan (Below LIS)

Short below 5377
🎯 Targets: 5337 → 5275 → 5237

Gameplan

🔟 Final Thoughts & Execution Tips

This is a battlefield zone—tight structure, data risk, and two-way players.
Price is knocking on the door of a potential breakout, but don't chase shadows.
☑️ Wait for confirmation.
☑️ Use proper size.
☑️ Don’t let FOMO push you into noise.

💡 Bonus Tip: If you’re not using the Sentinel Playbook to map these moves, you're trading blind. It’s free, tactical, and built exactly for days like this.

📥 One last thing — if this email hit your “Promotions” or “Spam,”
📌 Drag it into your inbox so you never miss a gameplan.

—

Clavis Trading | MarketFlow Genius
Less noise. More structure. Ruthless execution.

See you tomorrow. Stay sharp.


Tradezella Trading journal: https://tradezella.com?fpr=jan59
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