ES Market Gameplan

Monday 07.04.2025 | No Mercy in Sight

Author

Jan Verhelst
April 07, 2025

📺 Watch full breakdown on YouTube
https://youtu.be/YourLinkHere

🛑 Heads-Up: I’ll be on break from April 10–18.
No live updates or Discord sessions during that time.
📅 I’ll be back with the full gameplan Sunday April 20.

1️⃣ Overview & Market Sentiment

Let’s not sugarcoat it—this market is bleeding out.
After Friday’s 361-point meltdown, Globex gapped another 90 points lower, dragging us straight into historical vacuum territory.

No high-impact news today, but when structure collapses, volatility replaces headlines.
Buyers are battered. Sellers are kings.

2️⃣ 10-Day Volume Profile – Vacuum Confirmed

  • Volume profile is completely dislocated from prior value

  • We’ve officially dropped into a no-man’s land between the December & November 2023 VAs

  • This isn’t just a pullback—it’s a system-wide recalibration

10 Day

3️⃣ Weekly Volume Profile – Shifted 706 Points

  • The weekly VA dropped over 700 points

  • We’ve smashed through August, February, and even January’s structural lows

  • Current low: 5074

  • Bulls must reclaim 5105 to even be in the conversation

4️⃣ Daily & 4H Structure – OTFD In Effect

  • Daily is still One Time Framing Down—no bounce, no mercy

  • Friday opened & closed outside value = full rejection

  • On 4H, 5533 marked the final BOS (break of structure).

  • Next structural magnet: 4860 HVN

5️⃣ Order Flow & Delta – Sellers Still in Charge

  • Passive buyers tried to defend 5300 and 5250

  • They failed. Badly.

  • No signs of shift.

  • Delta confirms bears remain in total control

6️⃣ NY TPO & Session Structure

  • Triple distribution into Friday’s close

  • Closed below value, with poor lows—a recipe for potential continuation

  • Watch: 5111.50 dense volume node → potential short-lived bounce zone

7️⃣ 1-Hour Chart & Strike Prices

  • Hourly chart showing a balance attempt near the lows

  • Open interest and strikes? Far above.

  • Big gap overhead, no structural safety net below

8️⃣ 🎯 Game Plan – Bulls vs. Bears

📌 LIS: 4860
This HVN + historical node is the line that must hold for bulls to reassert.

🟢 Bullish Plan (Above LIS):

  • Entry: 4865

  • Targets:

    • 4902 → minor resistance

    • 4935 → volume shelf

    • 5000 → psychological magnet + gamma level

🔴 Bearish Plan (Below LIS):

  • Entry: 4855

  • Targets:

    • 4820

    • 4790

    • 4755 → historical support zone

9️⃣ Final Thoughts & Warnings

This is not a drill.
We’re in a true liquidity vacuum—no structure, no bid defense, no help.

You either respect the trend…
Or you become its next victim.

📌 Scale down, stay mechanical, and cut losers fast.
📌 Your only edge now? Structure and execution.
📌 Emotion has no seat at this table.

💡 Want to track these key levels like I do?
Grab the free Sentinel Playbook—a visual framework for traders who think in structure.
🎯 Get It Here

📥 Reminder: If this hit your Promotions tab, drag it to Primary so you don’t miss real-time breakdowns.

—

Clavis Trading | MarketFlow Genius
No noise. Just structure.
Let’s go to war.


Tradezella Trading journal: https://tradezella.com?fpr=jan59
Bulenox Propfirm (trusted): https://bulenox.com/member/aff/go/renkoflow