ES Gameplan

Friday 04.04.2025 | "Overruled"

šŸ“ŗ Watch the Full Breakdown on YouTube (with all the dirty charts):
https://youtu.be/DwSqjXOkjLQ?si=quz2tojwV02vdxpB

ā€œEveryone has a plan until they get punched in the mouth.ā€
— Mike Tyson

Well, we just ate a 100-point jab overnight. Welcome to Friday.

🧨 Market Overview – Chaos into the Close

This isn’t just a Friday—it’s NFP, employment data, earnings reports, and a Powell speech all wrapped into one. Add in a Thursday breakdown that absolutely obliterated support... and you've got the perfect storm.

This is not the day to trade on vibes.

šŸ”Ž 10-Day Volume Profile – Ripped Apart

  • Volume profile is stretched like a crash test dummy.

  • We've lost the VA Low at 5628, and we’re now deep below both the August and May ranges.

  • Current balance is building at 5400—also the major gamma put wall.

  • Next macro support: 5303 (August low). That’s your battleground if 5400 goes.

10 day

šŸ“‰ Weekly & Daily Structure – Bear King Reigns

  • Weekly VA Low dropped another 58 points.

  • OTFD (One Time Framing Down) still intact—Thursday's high: 5564.75.

  • No bounce, no defense, just a clean flush below 5527.

  • Bulls need a miracle to get back in control today.

šŸ“Š 2HR Delta & Order Flow – Clean Kill

  • Sellers ran it from the open.

  • Bulls made a pathetic attempt at 5500—but couldn’t even hold a handshake.

  • Session closed 163 points lower than Wednesday. That’s not selling. That’s capitulation.

šŸ—‚ļø NY TPO Session – Brutal Structure

  • Triple distribution with multiple untested lows.

  • Buyers never even sniffed Monday’s opening range.

  • Two untouched single print zones now sit above as resistance.

  • Structure is screaming: ā€œContinuation.ā€

šŸ•’ 1-Hour & Strike Prices – Welcome to Gamma Hell

  • Trend still pointing south. Hard.

  • Overnight strikes slid 100 points down.

  • 5440 = short-term resistance (volume gap).

  • 5400 = psychological magnet + gamma sinkhole + LIS.

šŸŽÆ Game Plan – Bulls vs. Bears

šŸ“Œ Line In The Sand: 5400

šŸ‚ Bulls Plan:

  • Entry: 5405

  • Targets: 5426 → 5444 → 5468

  • But don’t marry the bounce—this is counter-trend hunting.

🐻 Bears Plan:

  • Entry: 5396

  • Targets: 5380 → 5365 → 5340

  • Ride momentum. Look left, and you’ll find plenty of unfinished business.

āš ļø Final Thoughts & Tactical Reminders

This isn’t just a market pullback.
It’s a full regime change.
Add Powell’s speech and NFP to the mix? You get algorithmic murder on both sides of the tape.

🧠 Trade plan, not predictions.
āœ‚ļø Cut size, not corners.
šŸ’” Structure wins—emotions don’t.

🧭 Don’t Miss the Weekly Outlook (Drops Sunday)

šŸ‘‰ New levels
šŸ‘‰ Fresh structure zones
šŸ‘‰ Tactical setups for Q2

Want the exact strategy I use to prep these plans and execute trades with military precision?

šŸ“„ Grab the Sentinel Playbook (Free)
https://app.clavisconnect.com/marketflowgenius-7719
If you’re serious about leveling up, this is your blueprint.

šŸ“« One last thing – If this landed in your ā€œPromotionsā€ or ā€œUpdatesā€ tab…
Drag it into your Primary inbox so you don’t miss next week’s plan.

We don’t do fluff.
We do clarity, edge, and execution.

See you Sunday.

—
Clavis Trading | MarketFlow Genius
Your Tactical Edge in a Brutal Market.


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