- Clavis Trading
- Posts
- ES Gameplan
ES Gameplan
Friday 04.04.2025 | "Overruled"
šŗ Watch the Full Breakdown on YouTube (with all the dirty charts):
https://youtu.be/DwSqjXOkjLQ?si=quz2tojwV02vdxpB
āEveryone has a plan until they get punched in the mouth.ā
ā Mike Tyson
Well, we just ate a 100-point jab overnight. Welcome to Friday.
š§Ø Market Overview ā Chaos into the Close
This isnāt just a Fridayāitās NFP, employment data, earnings reports, and a Powell speech all wrapped into one. Add in a Thursday breakdown that absolutely obliterated support... and you've got the perfect storm.
This is not the day to trade on vibes.
š 10-Day Volume Profile ā Ripped Apart
Volume profile is stretched like a crash test dummy.
We've lost the VA Low at 5628, and weāre now deep below both the August and May ranges.
Current balance is building at 5400āalso the major gamma put wall.
Next macro support: 5303 (August low). Thatās your battleground if 5400 goes.

10 day
š Weekly & Daily Structure ā Bear King Reigns
Weekly VA Low dropped another 58 points.
OTFD (One Time Framing Down) still intactāThursday's high: 5564.75.
No bounce, no defense, just a clean flush below 5527.
Bulls need a miracle to get back in control today.
š 2HR Delta & Order Flow ā Clean Kill
Sellers ran it from the open.
Bulls made a pathetic attempt at 5500ābut couldnāt even hold a handshake.
Session closed 163 points lower than Wednesday. Thatās not selling. Thatās capitulation.
šļø NY TPO Session ā Brutal Structure
Triple distribution with multiple untested lows.
Buyers never even sniffed Mondayās opening range.
Two untouched single print zones now sit above as resistance.
Structure is screaming: āContinuation.ā
š 1-Hour & Strike Prices ā Welcome to Gamma Hell
Trend still pointing south. Hard.
Overnight strikes slid 100 points down.
5440 = short-term resistance (volume gap).
5400 = psychological magnet + gamma sinkhole + LIS.
šÆ Game Plan ā Bulls vs. Bears
š Line In The Sand: 5400
š Bulls Plan:
Entry: 5405
Targets: 5426 ā 5444 ā 5468
But donāt marry the bounceāthis is counter-trend hunting.
š» Bears Plan:
Entry: 5396
Targets: 5380 ā 5365 ā 5340
Ride momentum. Look left, and youāll find plenty of unfinished business.
ā ļø Final Thoughts & Tactical Reminders
This isnāt just a market pullback.
Itās a full regime change.
Add Powellās speech and NFP to the mix? You get algorithmic murder on both sides of the tape.
š§ Trade plan, not predictions.
āļø Cut size, not corners.
š” Structure winsāemotions donāt.
š§ Donāt Miss the Weekly Outlook (Drops Sunday)
š New levels
š Fresh structure zones
š Tactical setups for Q2
Want the exact strategy I use to prep these plans and execute trades with military precision?
š„ Grab the Sentinel Playbook (Free)
https://app.clavisconnect.com/marketflowgenius-7719
If youāre serious about leveling up, this is your blueprint.
š« One last thing ā If this landed in your āPromotionsā or āUpdatesā tabā¦
Drag it into your Primary inbox so you donāt miss next weekās plan.
We donāt do fluff.
We do clarity, edge, and execution.
See you Sunday.
ā
Clavis Trading | MarketFlow Genius
Your Tactical Edge in a Brutal Market.
My Links
Free Tradezella PlayBook
https://app.clavisconnect.com/marketflowgenius-7719
Free PDF 5 STrategies for Beginners:
https://app.clavisconnect.com/free-pdf-5-strats
Sign Up for my newsletter
https://clavis-trading.beehiiv.com/subscribe
Apply for Personal Coaching
https://link.coursecreator360.com/widget/form/4DNoZsNtDOpmxlLWigrP
Youtube: https://youtube.com/@clavistrading?si=ueoG0mVKvaABNy6O
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/clavis_trading/
Twitter: https://x.com/Clavis_Trading
Free Facebook Group: https://www.facebook.com/groups/817560760431510/
Subreddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/SP500ESTrading/
Discord channel: https://whop.com/clavis-2/
Tradezella Trading journal: https://tradezella.com?fpr=jan59
Bulenox Propfirm (trusted): https://bulenox.com/member/aff/go/renkoflow