ES Futures Weekly Outlook

April Week 5, 2025

Author

Jan Verhelst
April 27, 2025

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Welcome back, traders.
After a week packed with setups, traps, and breakout energy, it's time to reset the chessboard and get laser-focused. Let's break it all down—top to bottom.

1️⃣ Weekly Recap – Bulls Fire Back

  • Textbook market play:
    ➔ Inside week → liquidity sweep → explosive breakout.

  • Buyers reclaimed momentum, flipping the daily structure back into OTFU (One Time Framing Up).

  • 10-Day and Weekly Volume Profiles balanced.

  • We closed inside August's value area, a key battleground reclaimed.

  • Now the mission: Take back the triple POC wall around 5,670 to open the road higher.

Momentum is back. But it’s fragile.

2️⃣ Monthly Volume Profile – The Macro Battlefield

  • Still officially OTFD, with monthly high at 6,052.25.

  • Price pushed into August’s value zone—a big structural win for bulls.

  • 📌 Critical Reclaim Level: 5,618 → break it clean, and 5,668 opens the door to September's old range.

  • Monthly value stabilized after the flush—a positive, but not confirmed yet.

Monthly

3️⃣ 10-Day Volume Profile – Microstructure Shifts

  • Balanced volume profile.

  • We closed above August’s POC (5,527)—very bullish for short-term structure.

  • Bulls must hold 5,527–5,531 to avoid slipping back into old imbalances.

10Day

4️⃣ Weekly Volume Profile – Context Shifts Fast

  • From inside week to outside breakout week—smashing two prior weekly highs.

  • Path to 5,900 is now officially open, IF bulls defend structure early next week.

  • Expect retests of March’s range boundaries.

5️⃣ Daily Structure – The Comeback is Real

  • Daily candles returned to One Time Framing Up.

  • Low locked at 5,355.25—strong, defended.

  • Clean structure = bullish trend, until proven otherwise.

Daily

6️⃣ 4-Hour Structure – Zooming In

  • Strong 4H uptrend inside the previous A-to-B range.

  • Price pausing inside an LVN band between 5,520 and 5,620.

  • 📌 Key to continuation: reclaim and build value above 5,613.

🎯 Game Plan – Bulls vs. Bears

📌 LIS (Line In The Sand): 5,550
(Major LVN ledge and monthly pivot structure)

🐂 Bullish Plan:

  • Reclaim 5,613 → Target 5,670 → 5,818 (VAH of last A to B move).

🐻 Bearish Plan:

  • Fail below 5,527 → Test 5,355 → 5,150 (old liquidity flush zone).

Gameplan weekly

⚡ Final Thoughts – Finish April with Precision

Last week’s liquidity flush cleared out weak hands.
This week could be the launchpad into May—or a brutal fakeout.

  • If bulls reclaim early → we spring higher.

  • If not → choppy retests and defensive trading ahead.

Stay patient. Stay focused. Let structure lead, not emotion.

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Catch you tomorrow for the full Daily Gameplan drop.
Let’s finish this month like professionals—disciplined, tactical, and always ready for the next move.

— Jan | Marketflow Genius

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