ES Futures Gameplan

Monday, April 28, 2025

Author

Jan Verhelst
April 28, 2025

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🧠 Market Overview

No major economic news today—pure technicals and price action driving the tape.

  • Last week: ES closed strong, holding firm above the August Value Area Low (5500).

  • Now: We’re inside a key 5550–5620 volume gap. Will bulls continue or stall?

Momentum favors buyers... but Monday traps are notorious. Stay sharp.

📈 10-Day Volume Profile

  • Structure is tightening after last week's chaos.

  • POC is locked between 5528–5531.

  • Bulls must hold 5550 to keep pushing higher.

10 Day

🗺️ Weekly & Daily Chart Structures

  • Weekly: Balanced after a massive 450-point stretch.

  • Daily: OTFU (One Time Framing Up) Low at 5480

  • Key Pivot: Hold above 5550 HVN for upside continuation.

Weekly +Daily

🛠️ Order Flow & Delta (2Hr)

  • Buyers defended 5480 like their lives depended on it Friday.

  • Price is still sitting above Weekly VWAP — bullish bias stays alive if 5524 holds.

2hr Delta

🗂️ NY TPO & Session Structure

  • Friday printed a Double Distribution day.

  • Midpoint: 5524 (critical zone).

  • Open above 5524 today = confirmation of bullish control.

TPO

⏱️ 1-Hour Chart & Strike Prices

  • Clean uptrend aiming for the April 3 Globex gap at 5564.

  • Strike prices still tight — breakout potential if 5550–5620 cracks.

🎯 Game Plan: Bulls vs. Bears

📌 Line in the Sand (LIS): 5552

🟦 Bullish Plan:

  • Hold 5552 → Target 5580 → 5611 → 5640.

🟥 Bearish Plan:

  • Fail 5552 → Target 5527 → 5502 → 5475.

Gameplan

⚡ Final Thoughts

  • Mondays can create fake momentum.

  • Confirmation > Emotion — always.

  • If the setup isn’t there? Don’t chase. Protect your mental capital first.

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