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ES Futures Game Plan

ES Futures Game Plan

Jan Verhelst
May 21, 2025

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1️⃣ Important News & Events

🛢️ Crude Oil Inventories drop today.
Watch for ripple effects in the first trading hour. High correlation days can throw unexpected moves, so stay nimble.

2️⃣ Recap of Previous Day

Tuesday printed a tight inside day, tucked neatly inside Monday’s P-profile.
NY session retested the opening range high before fading back into value.
→ It’s a clear sign: the market is coiling.

3️⃣ 10-Day Volume Profile

🔹 Still One Time Framing Up, but momentum is fading.
🔹 POC holds at 5906 – our bullish pressure line.
🔹 Globex dipped just under that, watch today’s early reaction closely.

10 Day

4️⃣ Weekly & Daily Chart Structure

📉 Globex now trading below weekly value.
📍 Buyers must reclaim 5950+ to resume control.
🧱 Long-term P-profile remains intact, but trending volume has stalled.

Weekly

5️⃣ Order Flow & Delta (2H View)

👀 Monday’s VWAP retest held early—but sellers regained control by NY close.
→ If we can’t recover above VWAP early, bears might press harder today.

2hr

6️⃣ NY TPO & Session Structure

🔸 A second P-profile formed Tuesday, but with volume stacked lower.
→ If we open below Tuesday’s VA, prepare for more pressure.
🔹 Bullish defense zone: 5948–5952

TPO

7️⃣ 1-Hour Chart & Strike Prices

📈 Uptrend intact, but weakening.
→ Globex drifted down through low-volume nodes.
🎯 Focus on reactions at 5948, 5959, and 5970. These ledges will define momentum.