ES Futures Daily Breakdown

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1️⃣ Important News & Events

No major releases today, but don’t get comfortable, it’s Friday.
These sessions often drift, fade, or flip aggressively in the final hour.

2️⃣ Recap of Previous Day

Thursday opened soft but quickly reversed.

• Buyers defended prior VAH → flipped the script early

• Breakout above 5725 confirmed trend continuation

• But… it lacked strong follow-through into the close

• NY session returned back into the lower half of the distribution

Momentum is alive but not bulletproof.

3️⃣ 10-Day Volume Profile

✅ One Time Framing Up (OTFU) still intact
✅ ES holding firm above prior POC and VAH
🎯 Watch 5672 — that’s your structural pivot
→ Lose it, and this rally pauses
→ Hold it, and we push higher into May

4️⃣ Weekly & Daily Chart Structure

We’re boxed in a clean range: 5550 → 5732

• Weekly: Balanced, but coiling for a move

• Daily: Broke out… but couldn’t seal the deal with a strong close

📌 Bulls need a clean push through 5734 to confirm control.

5️⃣ 2H Order Flow & Delta

The delta structure says it all:

• Clean retest of weekly VWAP

• Passive buyers stepped in below 1st dev

• Price held the line at VWAP and rallied

Momentum = still on the buyer’s side for now.

6️⃣ NY TPO Session Structure

Classic double distribution day.

• Printed above Monday’s value

• But we closed back inside, not above

• 👀 Watch 5680–5684 as the line of control ,bulls must defend this lower ledge

7️⃣ 1-Hour Chart & Strike Prices

• Liquidity sweep above last week’s high? ✔️

• Pullback right into range mid? ✔️

• Strike prices are tight again — market wants clarity

💡 Wait-and-see approach is key. This isn’t the place for heavy directional bets.

8️⃣ Game Plan: Bulls vs. Bears

📍 Line in the Sand (LIS): 5684.50
(This is yesterday’s NY low + lower DD shelf + Globex battleground)

🟢 Bullish Plan:
→ 5716
→ 5748
→ 5780

🔴 Bearish Plan:
→ 5652
→ 5620
→ 5589

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9️⃣ Final Thoughts & Tactical Play

It’s Friday, don’t be a hero.
No news doesn’t mean no risk. Watch the LIS at 5684 like a hawk.

📌 If you’re green this week: lock it in.
📌 If the setup isn’t perfect: skip it.
📌 If you trade: size down and wait for confirmation.

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Jan @ Clavis Trading
Smart setups. Clean structure.

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