ES Daily Market Summary

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Another high-impact trading day ahead! With PPI and jobless claims on the calendar, expect increased volatility and sharp reactions.

📌 Yesterday’s CPI data fueled a strong rally to 5668 before reversing and tagging our bear target at 5557. The big question now: Is balance returning after seven days of selling, or will PPI trigger another leg down?

Market Overview & Key Events

• PPI & Jobless Claims – High Impact News

• Yesterday’s action: Volatile range around 5598 LIS

• Buyers broke the daily OTFD at 5651 → Possible balance shift?

• First time in 7 days that Open & Settle closed higher than the prior session.

10-Day Volume Profile

• Value area dropping slightly, but buildup under 5630 is growing

• Double distribution forming – Clear battle between buyers & sellers

Weekly & Daily Chart Structure

• Weekly VP narrowing → Market coiling for a breakout move.

• Volume concentrated below POC – Lining up with last week’s VA range extension.

• Staying below 5609 (September POC) could signal continued weakness.

• OTFD at 5651 tapped out – Balance could be forming.

Order Flow & Delta (2H Chart)

• Market ranging between 5533 and 5675

• Aggressive buyers/sellers at extremes – Waiting for PPI reaction.

• Watch reactions at key levels—whichever side breaks first sets today’s tone.

📌 The first impulsive move post-PPI is often the fakeout. Stay sharp.

NY TPO & Session Structure

• TPO stayed inside Tuesday’s range – No breakout yet.

• Most volume built above 5590 POC

• Open above 5590 = Sellers taking a break

1-Hour Chart & Strike Prices

• Strike prices tightening: 5650 (High), 5575 (Low) – Typical PPI range behavior.

• Volume buildup between 5630-5580 – Expect chop inside this zone.

Game Plan: Bulls vs. Bears

📌 LIS: 5612 (Volume Build-up POC)

Bullish Plan:

• Hold above 5612 for continuation.

• Longs from 5622 → 5650 → 5675 → 5700.

Bearish Plan:

• Stay below 5612 for further downside.

• Shorts from 5596 → 5575 → 5552 → 5525.

📌 Play the levels—don’t force trades in chop.

Final Thoughts & Warnings

🚨 Big news day—PPI will shake things up! 🚨

📌 Trading survival tips for today:

• Stick to your plan – Don’t react emotionally to volatility.

• Wait for stabilization – Let the market show its hand first.

• Manage risk – High volatility = Bigger potential moves.

• Be patient – The second move is often the real move.

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Stay sharp. See you in the trenches.