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ES Daily Gameplan

ES Daily Gameplan

July 7 2025

Jan Verhelst
July 07, 2025

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1️⃣ Important News & Events

No major economic releases today. Expect price to respond more to technical levels and dealer positioning.

2️⃣ Recap of Previous Day

Price History (ESU25)

Date	Open	High	Low	Close	% Change	Volume
2025-07-03	6276.50	6333.25	6270.50	6324.25	+0.78%	678,325
2025-07-07	6307.75	6313.00	6290.75	6295.50	–0.45%	57,333

📌 Key Takeaways:
Friday filled Thursday’s RTH gap.
Price closed below LIS (6277.00) , a sign of shifting from balance toward possible imbalance.
Volume stayed low, but structure holds.

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3️⃣ 10-Day Volume Profile

Structure: OTFU, but value builds lower
Forming a b-profile, with heavy volume above 6320
Indicates potential seller presence at highs or absorption

4️⃣ Weekly & Daily Chart Structure

Both charts remain OTFU, trend intact
Globex forming inside day inside a low-volume node (LVN)
Tight coiling ,
break likely this week

5️⃣ Order Flow & Delta (2H Chart)

Thursday and Friday were low participation
Price still respects weekly VWAP as dynamic support
No aggressive delta shifts—watch for pickup in momentum or divergence

6️⃣ NY TPO & Session Structure

Friday: Gap fill day, low conviction
Pay attention to Thursday’s buying tail (strong responsive buying)
Opening above 6310 could shift sentiment bullish quickly

7️⃣ 1-Hour Chart & Strike Prices

Uptrend remains in motion
Strike prices are narrow and thin → compression before expansion
6280 zone could act as a springboard toward retest of 6333.25 (ETH high)

8️⃣ Game Plan: Bulls vs. Bears

🎯 LIS: 6277.00
(Play reactively at this level—confirmation required before bias)

🔼 Bullish Scenarios

Hold LIS → test +1σ (6294.28), then +3σ (6329.09)
Break 6333.25 → squeeze to MAX ALPHA @ 6375.00

🔽 Bearish Scenarios

Rejection at 6295–6300 → fade toward LIS
Below 6277 → test –1σ (6259.47), then open space to
- –2σ: 6242.07
- –3σ: 6224.66

📌 High Call Interest: 6300–6325
📌 Implied Volatility: Neutral-to-bullish skew → dealers likely short above 6325

⚔️ Strategic Notes

Max Alpha = 6375.00 → Use this for high-probability fade or late squeeze target
Keep it tactical — wait for confirmation at LIS or extreme levels with order flow support

🧠 What is VOMA?

VOMA stands for Volume Orderflow Market Analyzer — our battle-tested system for tactical ES futures trading.

It blends:

✅ Options Data (GEX, OI, skew)
✅ Volume Profile (Value shifts, POC, LVNs)
✅ Live Order Flow (DOM, Footprint, VWAP, Delta)
✅ Price Structure (Multi-timeframe LIS + contextual execution)

We don’t predict.
We react, confirm, and strike with asymmetric precision.