ES Daily Game Plan

Tuesday, March 25th

Author

Jan Verhelst
March 25, 2025

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đź“ş Watch the full breakdown with charts: YouTube Video

Overview & Key News

  • U.S. New Home Sales & Consumer Confidence data drop 30 minutes after NY open.

  • ⚠️ Expect volatility — best to avoid early entries.

Monday Recap

  • Opened with a 22-point gap up, forcing sellers to scramble.

  • Quick dip into the buy zone → all upside targets hit into the close.

  • Price held above the breakout zone, entering September’s value structure.

10-Day Volume Profile

  • Profile expanding — showing strong buyer participation.

  • Value broke above 5750, pushing beyond 5816 (POC) → new zone of control forming.

10 day

Weekly Volume Profile

  • Weekly structure flipped OTFU.

  • Moving toward September’s VAH and beyond.

  • Bulls must defend the breakout.

Weekly and Daily

Daily Structure

  • New low set at 5650.75.

  • Strong series of higher highs & higher lows.

  • Watch 5816–5828 for momentum confirmation.

Order Flow & Delta (2H)

  • Seller absorption noted at 5795–5800.

  • Buyers remain in control, but this may act as short-term resistance.

  • Holding above VWAP = bullish.

2hr Delta

NY TPO & Session Structure

  • Monday extended cleanly out of balance.

  • If we open above 5816, expect bullish continuation.

1-Hour Chart & Strike Prices

  • Strike range: High: 5870 / Low: 5600 — wide due to gap conditions.

  • Currently trading inside the March 9 Globex gap.

  • LVN at 5811 — expect chop, don’t chase noise.

Game Plan – Bulls vs. Bears

đź“Ś LIS: 5816 – Upper ledge of value and key inflection point.

Bulls:

  • Long from 5818, targets → 5828 → 5843 → 5860

Bears:

  • Short from 5812, targets → 5800 → 5786 → 5765

Gameplan

⚠️ Final Thoughts

We're at a major inflection zone inside the Globex gap.

🧠 Be patient. Let price confirm. 

With data releases coming shortly after open, the real move may come later.

Stay sharp, don’t force it, and I’ll see you tomorrow.

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