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Daily ES Futures Outlook

Daily ES Futures Outlook

Tuesday, June 10th

Jan Verhelst
June 10, 2025

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1️⃣ Market Overview & Key Events

Quiet on the macro front today, but the market’s already bracing for CPI data tomorrow—a known volatility trigger. Expect positioning, slow rotations, and potential head-fakes during the session.

2️⃣ Recap of Previous Session

Monday was a chess match. We had a tight-range day, but with clear signs of large positioning: big blocks hitting both sides of the DOM, yet no conviction. A minor breakout above value was quickly faded, closing us right back near the POC. Institutions are watching.

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3️⃣ Volume Profile Insights

The 10-day profile remains OTFU, but value is compressing:

80-point Value Area
Anchored near May’s highs
POC locked at 6017 (same as March’s breakout zone)

We’re in a coiled spring. This profile setup often precedes explosive directional breaks—stay alert.

4️⃣ Market Structure Review

Weekly: Still OTFU, holding above last week’s 5981 POC.
Daily: Also OTFU, but beginning to compress. Yesterday’s tight candle inside Friday’s range suggests indecision. Eyes on 5981 as the key retest level.

Breakout above 6025 = strength. Loss of 5981 = trap.

5️⃣ Order Flow & VWAP (2H Chart)

Monday gave us a two-sided auction—classic range behavior around weekly VWAP.

Globex looked above, then faded hard back below.
Price is now hovering near VWAP again.
Watch for: VWAP holds = buyer strength; VWAP rejections = control shifts to sellers.

6️⃣ NY TPO Profile

Yesterday’s session was a classic P-profile with poor highs and no excess at the low—indecision at its finest.
Structure sits inside Friday’s value.
The opening print today will be your first directional clue.

7️⃣ 1-Hour Chart & Strike Prices

The uptrend remains intact, but we’re flirting with balance.
Price is above the monthly VWAP, but Globex lost the weekly VWAP.
The 6000 gap is now a critical point of interest—expect responsive action there.

Strike zones are currently concentrated between 5995 and 6030, with open interest walls near 6006 and 6018.

8️⃣ Game Plan: Bulls vs. Bears

📌 Line in the Sand (LIS): 6012
(Former POC + VOMA midpoint. Whoever holds it, controls tempo.)

Bulls
🎯 T1 = 6018
🎯 T2 = 6023
🎯 T3 = 6030
📈 Look for: Stacked green deltas, VWAP as support, and absorption at 6013.75 lifting higher.

Bears
🎯 T1 = 6006
🎯 T2 = 6000
🎯 T3 = 5995
📉 Look for: Aggressive red deltas below VWAP, spoofing above 6013, and failure to reclaim 6006.50.

🧠 Confirmation Checklist

DOM Spoofing near 6013–6018
Footprint imbalance signals above 6020
Chop Alert: Avoid the 5995–6005 LVN zone if delta is flat: premium trap range.

VOMA Levels

9️⃣ Final Thoughts & Risk Notes

Today is positioning day, not decision day.
Let others overtrade while you watch for tells.
A breakout is coming, your job is not to predict it, but to exploit the first signs of control.

📡 What is VOMA?

V.O.M.A. (Volume Orderflow Market Analyzer) is our in-house system that tracks real-time institutional positioning, absorption zones, and key inflection points. It’s how we map the market’s heartbeat, before the herd reacts.

We use it daily in our Discord, with live charts, LIS zones, and team breakdowns.

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Let the crowd chase.
We position with precision.