Daily ES Futures Outlook

2025-05-27

Author

Jan Verhelst
May 27, 2025

The key to a $1.3T opportunity

A new real estate trend called co-ownership is revolutionizing a $1.3T market. Leading it? Pacaso. Led by former Zillow execs, they already have $110M+ in gross profits with 41% growth last year. They even reserved the Nasdaq ticker PCSO. But the real opportunity’s now. Until 5/29, you can invest for just $2.80/share.

This is a paid advertisement for Pacaso’s Regulation A offering. Please read the offering circular at invest.pacaso.com. Reserving a ticker symbol is not a guarantee that the company will go public. Listing on the NASDAQ is subject to approvals. Under Regulation A+, a company has the ability to change its share price by up to 20%, without requalifying the offering with the SEC.

1️⃣ Market Overview & Key Events
No high-impact economic releases today. After Monday's US holiday (Memorial Day), markets reopen with Globex already printing a strong upside move. Expect elevated activity as traders reposition post-weekend.

2️⃣ Recap of Previous Session
Monday was quiet with the NY session closed. But Globex reopened with intent—reclaiming Friday’s drop and pushing straight through Thursday’s range. Buyers stepped up, and bulls look ready to test key zones again.

3️⃣ Volume Profile Insights
The 10-day profile remains OTFU but coiling tightly around the 5906 Point of Control (POC) , our macro magnet. Globex volume is trying to accept above, putting pressure on shorts and testing breakout zones.

10 Day VP

4️⃣ Market Structure Review
Weekly: Inside week forming under last week’s double distribution. Still OTFU.
Daily: Reflipped OTFU with Friday’s low at 5813. Monday didn’t break structure, buyers hold the edge. Watch 5906 reclaim attempts today for confirmation.

5️⃣ Order Flow & VWAP (2H Chart)
Globex order flow stayed bullish, hugging the 1st and 2nd deviations above weekly VWAP. Momentum is with buyers, but volume remains thin. Let NY open confirm direction before sizing up.

6️⃣ NY TPO Profile
No NY session yesterday = no new structure. Today’s open above 5895 is bullish. If value can build above that level, it’ll signal strength and possible acceptance into the previous upper distribution.

7️⃣ 1-Hour Chart & Strike Prices
Structure: Breakout move reclaimed last week’s drops.
Strike prices remain compressed between 5775 and 5855.
Today's play: React at the LIS, follow volume and let the open shake out weak hands.

8️⃣ Game Plan: Bulls vs. Bears
📌 LIS: 5815 (Friday’s POC + VOMA-confirmed inflection point)

🐂 Bulls Above 5815
→ 5826 → 5839 → 5851

🐻 Bears Below 5815
→ 5802 → 5790 → 5778

voma

9️⃣ Final Thoughts & Risk Notes
Globex just printed a 50+ point run, don’t fade strength blindly. Let NY session confirm continuation or trap. Stay reactive, not predictive.

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Jan @ Clavis Trading
Smart setups. Clean structure.

Tradezella Trading journal: https://tradezella.com?fpr=jan59