Daily ES Futures Outlook

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Watch it on YouTube (under 4 mins):
🎥 https://youtu.be/HsFpGOQV2T4

📍 Overview

The bulls had momentum, but the market just drew a hard line at 5830. Rejection was fast and clean. Now we’re back inside last week’s range, and today’s GDP + jobless claims combo could flip sentiment again.

The setup? High volatility.
The goal? Structured execution.

Important News & Events

• GDP Report

• International Trade in Goods

• Jobless Claims

🕖 All before the NY open—expect fast rotations right off the bell.

Recap of Previous Day

• ES moved aggressively into the Globex gap.

• Rally stalled exactly at 5816—as forecasted.

• Sellers stepped in hard, driving us into the March 23 NY gap.

• Double distribution left behind. Single prints below 5790.

📌 Momentum shifted fast. FOMO got punished.

10-Day Volume Profile

• We’re back inside previous value.

• VAH held—classic rejection.

• Volume building below 5800 → market coiling.

• Likely balance today unless we break the 5770/5815 range cleanly.

Weekly & Daily Chart Structure

• Weekly:
  Still above last week’s POC (5670), but lost 200% extension.

• Daily:
  Textbook rejection at 5816.
  Now hovering just above last week’s high—next 15 points will decide the day.

Order Flow & Delta (2H)

• Sellers were dominant below VWAP (5805).

• Failed reclaim of 5830 confirmed weakness.

• Momentum = neutral → slightly bearish.

NY TPO Session Structure

• Range extension to the downside.

• Double distribution, value settled below 5770.

• Eyes on the 5772 volume gap—today’s battleground.

1-Hour Chart & Strike Prices

• Trading inside the March 25 NY gap.

• Globex bounce? Weak.

• Today’s strike price range: 5965 high / 5750 low.

🎯 Game Plan – Bulls vs. Bears

📌 Line in the Sand (LIS): 5772
→ Lines up with last week’s high, LVN, and Globex high.

🔹 Bulls:

• Longs from 5775, targeting:
  → 5785 → 5793 → 5815

🔸 Bears:

• Shorts below 5765, targeting:
  → 5753 → 5740 → 5722

⚠️ Final Thoughts & Warnings

We’re at a tipping point.
The market is leaning but not committed.

News will trigger the move—but don’t chase.
Let price confirm around 5772. That’s your pivot.

📌 Trade what’s there, not what you hope.
📌 Cut the noise. Keep it tactical. Stay alive.

See you tomorrow for the follow-up plan.
For live setups, I’ll break it down in Discord after NY opens.

— J. (Marketflow Genius)
📌 Precision beats prediction.